When Matteo Berrettini cracks a first serve in the Ad court, it’s basically a coin flip if it is coming back in play or not. When first serves are returned, it’s Stefanos Tsitsipas who reigns supreme, winning almost two out of three points in the Deuce court following his first serve.

An Infosys ATP Beyond The Numbers analysis of the Top 10 in 2021 uncovers who forces the most unreturned serves and who wins the most points when the first serve is returned back in play in both the Deuce and Ad court. (Detailed data set information can be found at the bottom of this story.)

Deuce Court: 1st Serves Unreturned
Daniil Medvedev leads the Top 10 this season in extracting the most unreturned serves in the Deuce court, at 44.3 per cent (227/512). That total is comprised of 103 aces and 124 returns that did not make it back in play. Sixty-five aces were struck straight down the T, while 38 aces were hit out wide. Matteo Berrettini (44.2%) and Alexander Zverev (43.8%) were both within a percentage point of Medvedev’s leading Deuce court unreturned percentage.

 

Deuce Court: 1st Serves Unreturned

Top 10 Player Unreturned
D. Medvedev  44.3% 
M. Berrettini 44.2% 
A. Zverev 43.8%
D. Shapovalov 41.3%
A. Rublev 40.4%
C. Ruud  38.7%
S. Tsitsipas  37.8%
P. Carreno Busta 31.8%
N. Djokovic 30.9%
R. Nadal  27.5%

  

Ad Court: 1st Serves Unreturned
Berrettini surged to the top of the list with first serves unreturned in the Ad court at 46.3 per cent (195/421). The Italian struck 80 aces (47 wide / 33 T) while also collecting 115 wayward returns from his potent first serve. The only two players who were also over the 40 per cent threshold in unreturned serves in the Ad court were Denis Shapovalov (42.7%) and Medvedev (42.6%).

 

Ad Ct: 1st Serves Unreturned

Top 10 Player  Unreturned
M. Berrettini 46.3% 
D. Shapovalov 42.7%
D. Medvedev 42.6%
A. Zverev  38.4%
A. Rublev  38.1%
S. Tsitsipas  38.1%
C. Ruud  36.8%
R. Nadal 30.4%
P. Carreno Busta                         26.2%
N. Djokovic 25.4%

Deuce Court: 1st Serves Returned & Won Point
When the first serve is put back in play, the returner has gained a valuable foothold in the point. Stefanos Tsitsipas led the field serving in the Deuce court, winning 65 per cent (241/596) of first-serve points that were returned. World No. 1, Novak Djokovic (63.5%), Christian Ruud (62.0%), and Andrey Rublev (61.4%) were the only players to break through the 60 per cent points won barrier when the return came back in play.

 

Deuce Ct 1st Serves Returned & Won Point

Top 10 Player  Won Point
S. Tsitsipas  65.0%
N. Djokovic 63.5%
C. Ruud  62.0%
A. Rublev  61.4%
M. Berrettini 59.7%
D. Medvedev 59.6%
P. Carreno Busta                         58.1%
A. Zverev 57.4%
R. Nadal  55.5%
D. Shapovalov  54.6%

Ad Court: 1st Serves Returned & Won Point
Twenty-two-year-old Canadian lefty, Shapovalov, led the Top 10 in points won in the Ad court from first serves returned back in play at 63.5 per cent (139/219). Medvedev (62.5%), Tsitsipas (61.8%), Rublev (61.5%) and Berrettini (60.6%) also won north of 60 per cent in the Ad court.

 

Ad Court
1st Serves Returned & Won Point

Top 10 Player  Won Point
D. Shapovalov  63.5%
D. Medvedev  62.5%
S. Tsitsipas  61.8%
A. Rublev  61.5%
M. Berrettini  60.6% 
A. Zverev  59.3% 
P. Carreno Busta                         58.5%
C. Ruud  57.4% 
N. Djokovic  56.4%
R. Nadal  55.9% 

Traditional tennis statistics such as first serves made and first serves won help us begin to understand a player’s performance behind his first serve. The Infosys Serve Tracker sheds new light on how many first serves do not come back in play, and who performs better when they do. Berrettini and Tsitsipas have risen to be the cream of the Top 10 crop so far this season.

The data set includes 2021 matches from ATP Cup, ATP Masters 1000s, select ATP 500s and 250s played on Hawk-Eye courts. Top 10 players (as of Aug. 23) must have played 20 matches on Hawk-Eye courts to be included. No. 11 Christian Ruud and No. 12 Pablo Carreno Busta take the place of the injured Dominic Thiem (18 matches) and Roger Federer (13 matches).

Editor’s Note: Craig O’Shannessy is the strategy analyst for the Italian Tennis Federation and players including Matteo Berrettini.



Source link Blog